Business
Bitcoin Faces Steep Decline as Experts Eye Future Recovery
Significant turmoil struck the cryptocurrency market today, as Bitcoin’s price plummeted to approximately $85,738, marking a decline of over 13% within the week. This sharp downturn contributed to a broader market sell-off, erasing billions of dollars in value and pushing investor sentiment into extreme fear. The global cryptocurrency market capitalization now stands at $3.06 trillion, highlighting the widespread nature of the pressure.
Ethereum also experienced a considerable drop, with its price falling to $2,806, a loss of 14% over the past seven days. Meanwhile, XRP slipped to $1.98, extending its weekly losses to nearly 16%. The ongoing sell-off led to the liquidation of more than 221,000 traders in just 24 hours, resulting in approximately $794 million lost in positions. The Fear and Greed Index remains at a concerning 11, indicating pervasive anxiety among investors.
Peter Brandt’s Optimism Amidst the Decline
Despite the current downturn, veteran trader Peter Brandt expressed a bullish outlook. He revealed that he still holds 40% of his largest Bitcoin position, purchased at a price significantly lower than that of Bitcoin advocate Michael Saylor. Brandt characterized the present correction as a necessary adjustment that eliminates excessive leverage, potentially paving the way for a more robust recovery.
Looking ahead, Brandt predicts that the next major bull market could elevate Bitcoin to $200,000 by the third quarter of 2029. He plans to provide a detailed analysis for members of Bitcoin Live. While his projection has drawn varied reactions, some traders endorse his cycle-based forecast, anticipating a market bottom in October 2026 and a peak in September 2029.
On the contrary, analysts like Mike McGlone from Bloomberg cautioned that if Bitcoin replicates its 2018 trajectory, it could plunge as low as $10,000. McGlone cited increases in token supply, deteriorating macroeconomic conditions, and late-cycle exchange-traded fund (ETF) inflows as indicators of vulnerability in the market.
Market Sentiment and Future Projections
Despite prevailing fear, some market figures remain steadfast. Bitcoin maximalist Michael Saylor urged investors to resist panic-selling, noting that his company acquired an additional $800 million in Bitcoin last week and expressed confidence in weathering significant price declines. Similarly, Charles Hoskinson maintained a positive outlook, predicting Bitcoin could reach $250,000 by the end of next year.
Several indicators suggest that a turning point may be on the horizon. Bitcoin is approaching oversold levels, which historically precedes a rebound. Additionally, even a modest increase in the likelihood of a rate cut in December—currently at 31% probability—could ignite renewed bullish momentum.
Nevertheless, analysts caution that a slow recovery extending to 2029 may impose considerable strain on miners, particularly as operational costs increase and block rewards continue to diminish. As the crypto landscape evolves, investors will need to remain vigilant and informed to navigate the complexities of this volatile market.
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